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Interesting question. I'm looking here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comparison_of_Nvidia_graphics_processing_units and there doesn't seem to be a really well defined pattern. A couple of consistent thing for the last few generations: new lines are launched about a year and a half apart (the 9000 series doesn't count, it wasn't really a new line) and they start with a high end card, then fill in the lower tiers, then half way through the cycle slip in something a bit over (but not a hell of a lot over) the card that started out at the high end, and some whack job dual GPU high end card.

 

If they come out with a GTX 490 or 495 dual GPU you won't have to feel bad about it because it will burn too much power and cost more than the 480.

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You can find the 2GB version here: - I'm pretty confident that's the memory you can get on a reasonably priced card with CUDA. The Quadro 4000 is a lot more expensive and also has 2GB... whether it's faster in CUDA would be hard to say. Compare:

 

Geforce 460 GF104 GPU 336 cores 675 MHz

Quadro 4000 GF100 GPU 256 cores 475 MHZ

 

Now direct comparisons of cores and MHz are tricky because the layout of the "cores" (and the use of that term is... well, I don't love it but it's the closest thing... maybe "threads" is better) into units and sub-units is different and it all effects the efficiency, but until some real testing data is available I'm going to have to guess that the Geforce 460 is more powerful. The GF104 supports all the CUDA versions currently used so that's not going to be an issue either.

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